North Korea leader Kim Jung Un has called for the immediate convening of a Plenary Session of the ruling Party Central Committee for tomorrow, Wednesday, 10 April 2019. This is an unexpected and extraordinary development.
Intelligence is sparse from inside North Korea, so information leaks are almost non-existent.
It seems to most seasoned observers that something very big is in the works. There are two major possibilities:
1) Kim Jung Un will ask the ruling Party Central Committee for permission to actually de-nuclearize to bring his country into the modern world, commence trade, engage in infra-structure development and overall improvement of the nation, OR;
2) Kim Jung Un will tell his countrymen there is no hope of negotiations with the west and war must ensue.
The likelihood of anything else being discussed is almost nil; Plenary Sessions of the Ruling Party Central Committee are very rare; only convened in the most serious circumstances, when major, MAJOR decisions must be made.
This is an unexpected development . . .
The role of China in the affairs of North Korea cannot be over-stated. China is in the midst of a very serious trade dispute with the United States and layoffs have begun inside China as plants must be idled for lack of sales.
Unemployed workers create significant political instability inside China and the nation is NOT set to deal with that due to the financial constraints caused by the lack of trade.
It is possible that China is seeking to unleash North Korea upon the USA, to give us something ELSE to worry about rather than continue to pay attention to the trade deficit between the US and China.
This type of response would seem to most people to be absurd, but China is seeing trouble with the US on several fronts:
1) As mentioned, the ongoing trade war, AND;
2) Growing military tensions with Taiwan, AND;
3) Growing military tensions with the Philippines and other nations in the South China Sea.
China has repeatedly seen US warships navigate freely in areas of the South China Sea which China claims as its sovereign territory, but which the rest of the world refuses to accept.
China has also seen US warships traverse the Taiwan Strait and US warplanes traverse the airspace of that strait.
All these things are putting enormous pressure on China and unleashing their "pit-bull" North Korea may be seen in Beijing as a way to get the US to back off; perhaps a way to break the apparent stalemate between Beijing and Washington.
It will not work.